Selected Research and Commentary

Threading the Needle: The Logic of Conventional Coercion in Nuclear Crises (2025/26) - Texas National Security Review - link here - Appendix

Swords and Shields: Conventional Warfighting in a Nuclear World - book project

Public Opinion and Nuclear Use: Evidence from Factorial Experiments with Michael Goldfien and Matthew Graham (2023) - Journal of Politics - link here

Counterproductive Counterproliferation? Evaluating Kinetic Attacks on Nascent Nuclear Programs with David Allison (2025), Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail, MIT Press - link here

Nuclear Responsibility and the Shift in U.S. Disarmament Rhetoric, forthcoming in Reconceptualizing Nuclear Responsibility, Bloomsbury Publishing - link here

Upload Pending? How China’s Nuclear Modernization Affects U.S. Nuclear Strategy - Under Review

The Nuclear Balance and Elite Military Opinion towards Using Conventional Military Force, with Michael Goldfien, So Jin Lee, Kendrick Kuo, and Patrick Hulme - working paper

The October 2022 Tactical Nuclear Weapons Crisis: How Conventional Defeat Increases the Risk of Nuclear Escalation, with Phil Haun and Jonathan Hunt - Revise and Resubmit at Texas National Security Review

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and NATO’s Crisis of Nuclear Credibility (2022) - War on the Rocks - link here

Nuclear Shield, Conventional Sword? When Nuclear Stalemate Produces Conventional Emboldenment - working paper